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According to the passage, which of the following is an example of thinking errors uncovered by psychologists?

1. Big mistakes committed in a parlour game.
2. Consistent probability assessments.
3. Confidence in one's knowledge.
4. Evaluation of alternative hypotheses.

Correct answer: Big mistakes committed in a parlour game.

Solution

The passage discusses thinking errors identified by psychologists, and the example given is a set of large mistakes made in a parlour game. The other options describe correct reasoning or general mental states rather than errors.

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